Louisiana
W-L: (28-28) PR = 93.2167Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 6- 3 206 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 8- 7 207 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 7- 9 207 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 10- 5 213 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 2- 5 213 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 5- 1 214 H Prairie View A&M SWAC ( 3- 5, 89.5) 5- 6 214 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 8- 5 215 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 23- 0 217 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 0- 8 220 H Howard MEAC ( 2- 9, 88.9) 4- 0 220 A Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 6- 1 221 A Howard MEAC ( 2- 9, 88.9) 6- 3 221 A LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 1- 2 222 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 9-16 222 A Gardner-Webb BSO ( 2- 4, 87.4) 0- 8 224 H Northern Iowa MV ( 2- 6, 91.3) 10- 2 227 H Saint Mary's WC (13-10, 92.6) 6- 1 227 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 10- 8 228 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 14- 4 228 A Saint Mary's WC (13-10, 92.6) 2- 5 301 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 1- 5 301 A Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 1- 5 307 H Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 10- 3 307 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 0-10 308 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 1- 2 308 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 8-41, 87.7) 11- 1 313 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 1- 6 314 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 9- 1 315 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 1- 9 320 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 2- 1 321 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 2- 4 322 H Texas State SB (36-23, 93.6) 6- 1 324 H McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 5- 2 327 H Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 1- 2 328 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 4- 2 329 A UL Monroe SB (36-21, 92.6) 5- 7 402 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 4- 5 403 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 11- 7 404 H Troy SB (31-20, 92.8) 5- 4 408 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 4- 5 410 A James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 2- 6 411 A James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 2-10 412 A James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 9-15 414 H LSU SEC (37-21, 97.0) 0- 8 417 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 12- 4 418 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 8- 6 419 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 8- 2 421 A McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 3- 4 424 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 3- 2 425 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 5- 3 426 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 2- 8 430 H Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 0- 5 501 A Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 1- 2 502 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 2- 1 502 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 3- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Tulsa 6- 3 3 2 0.88
206 H Jacksonville State 8- 7 1 -1 1.81
207 H Jacksonville State 7- 9 -2 -1 -1.19
207 H North Texas 10- 5 5 2 + 3.50
213 H Ole Miss 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.66
213 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 5- 1 4 6 - -2.40
214 H Prairie View A&M 5- 6 -1 4 -- -5.45
214 H Ole Miss 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.34
215 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 23- 0 23 6 +++ 7.60
217 A Florida State 0- 8 -8 -5 - -3.00
220 H Howard 4- 0 4 5 -1.07
220 A Michigan State 6- 1 5 2 + 3.11
221 A Howard 6- 3 3 4 -0.59
221 A LSU 1- 2 -1 -5 + 3.55
222 A Texas Tech 9-16 -7 -7 -0.23
222 A Gardner-Webb 0- 8 -8 5 --- -13.12
224 H Northern Iowa 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.30
227 H Saint Mary's 6- 1 5 1 + 3.64
227 A Texas A&M 10- 8 2 -4 +++ 6.31
228 A Kennesaw State 14- 4 10 4 ++ 5.52
228 A Saint Mary's 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.88
301 A Texas A&M 1- 5 -4 -4 0.31
301 A Texas A&M 1- 5 -4 -4 0.31
307 H Abilene Christian 10- 3 7 6 0.78
307 A Oklahoma 0-10 -10 -7 - -2.57
308 A Oklahoma 1- 2 -1 -7 +++ 6.43
308 A Abilene Christian 11- 1 10 5 ++ 5.26
313 A Southern Miss 1- 6 -5 1 -- -5.81
314 A Southern Miss 9- 1 8 1 +++ 7.19
315 A Southern Miss 1- 9 -8 1 --- -8.81
320 H Texas State 2- 1 1 0 0.65
321 H Texas State 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.35
322 H Texas State 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.65
324 H McNeese 5- 2 3 1 1.85
327 H Sam Houston 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.32
328 H Louisiana Tech 4- 2 2 1 0.83
329 A UL Monroe 5- 7 -2 0 -1.83
402 H Troy 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.20
403 H Troy 11- 7 4 1 + 2.80
404 H Troy 5- 4 1 1 -0.20
408 A Virginia 4- 5 -1 -2 1.02
410 A James Madison 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.75
411 A James Madison 2-10 -8 0 --- -7.75
412 A James Madison 9-15 -6 0 -- -5.75
414 H LSU 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -4.94
417 H Coastal Carolina 12- 4 8 2 ++ 5.52
418 H Coastal Carolina 8- 6 2 2 -0.48
419 H Coastal Carolina 8- 2 6 2 + 3.52
421 A McNeese 3- 4 -1 0 -0.66
424 H Marshall 3- 2 1 0 0.91
425 H Marshall 5- 3 2 0 1.91
426 A Florida State 2- 8 -6 -5 -1.00
430 H Florida Atlantic 0- 5 -5 -1 -- -4.30
501 A Coastal Carolina 1- 2 -1 1 -1.99
502 A South Alabama 2- 1 1 0 0.91
502 A South Alabama 3- 4 -1 0 -1.09
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A Gardner-Webb 0- 8 -8 5 --- -13.12 315 A Southern Miss 1- 9 -8 1 --- -8.81 411 A James Madison 2-10 -8 0 --- -7.75 214 H Prairie View A&M 5- 6 -1 4 -- -5.45 313 A Southern Miss 1- 6 -5 1 -- -5.81 412 A James Madison 9-15 -6 0 -- -5.75 414 H LSU 0- 8 -8 -3 -- -4.94 430 H Florida Atlantic 0- 5 -5 -1 -- -4.30 213 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 5- 1 4 6 - -2.40 217 A Florida State 0- 8 -8 -5 - -3.00 228 A Saint Mary's 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.88 307 A Oklahoma 0-10 -10 -7 - -2.57 321 H Texas State 2- 4 -2 0 - -2.35 327 H Sam Houston 1- 2 -1 2 - -3.32 402 H Troy 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.20 410 A James Madison 2- 6 -4 0 - -3.75 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 H Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 23- 0 23 6 +++ 7.60 227 A Texas A&M 10- 8 2 -4 +++ 6.31 308 A Oklahoma 1- 2 -1 -7 +++ 6.43 314 A Southern Miss 9- 1 8 1 +++ 7.19 214 H Ole Miss 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.34 224 H Northern Iowa 10- 2 8 3 ++ 5.30 228 A Kennesaw State 14- 4 10 4 ++ 5.52 308 A Abilene Christian 11- 1 10 5 ++ 5.26 322 H Texas State 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.65 417 H Coastal Carolina 12- 4 8 2 ++ 5.52 207 H North Texas 10- 5 5 2 + 3.50 220 A Michigan State 6- 1 5 2 + 3.11 221 A LSU 1- 2 -1 -5 + 3.55 227 H Saint Mary's 6- 1 5 1 + 3.64 403 H Troy 11- 7 4 1 + 2.80 419 H Coastal Carolina 8- 2 6 2 + 3.52 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 6- 3 -8.06 11.31 -0.74 0.45 9.51
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 8- 7 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.45 12.15
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 7- 9 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.45 -1.32
3 H North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 10- 5 -7.44 11.93 -0.74 0.45 10.07
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 2- 5 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 0.45 -1.20
3 H Texas A&M-Corp ( 2-18, 87.6) 5- 1 -12.34 7.03 -0.74 0.45 5.66
3 H Prairie View A ( 3- 5, 89.5) 5- 6 -10.39 8.98 -0.74 0.45 -2.51
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 8- 5 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 0.45 12.63
3 H Texas A&M-Corp ( 2-18, 87.6) 23- 0 -12.34 7.03 -0.74 0.45 5.66
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 0- 8 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.45 -0.38
3 H Howard ( 2- 9, 88.9) 4- 0 -11.02 8.35 -0.74 0.45 6.85
3 A Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 6- 1 -9.31 10.06 0.74 0.45 9.72
3 A Howard ( 2- 9, 88.9) 6- 3 -11.02 8.35 0.74 0.45 8.19
3 A LSU (37-21, 97.0) 1- 2 -2.88 16.49 0.74 0.45 -0.48
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 9-16 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.45 -0.02
3 A Gardner-Webb ( 2- 4, 87.4) 0- 8 -12.54 6.83 0.74 0.45 -2.66
3 H Northern Iowa ( 2- 6, 91.3) 10- 2 -8.64 10.73 -0.74 0.45 8.99
3 H Saint Mary's (13-10, 92.6) 6- 1 -7.30 12.07 -0.74 0.45 10.19
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 10- 8 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.45 15.30
3 A Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 14- 4 -11.91 7.46 0.74 0.45 7.38
3 A Saint Mary's (13-10, 92.6) 2- 5 -7.30 12.07 0.74 0.45 -1.48
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 1- 5 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.45 -0.53
3 A Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 1- 5 -3.12 16.25 0.74 0.45 -0.53
3 H Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 10- 3 -12.16 7.21 -0.74 0.45 5.82
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 0-10 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.45 -0.17
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 1- 2 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.45 -0.17
3 A Abilene Christ ( 8-41, 87.7) 11- 1 -12.16 7.21 0.74 0.45 7.16
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 1- 6 -8.24 11.13 0.74 0.45 -1.69
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 9- 1 -8.24 11.13 0.74 0.45 10.69
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 1- 9 -8.24 11.13 0.74 0.45 -1.69
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 2- 1 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.45 11.10
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 2- 4 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.45 -1.58
3 H Texas State (36-23, 93.6) 6- 1 -6.29 13.08 -0.74 0.45 11.10
3 H McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 5- 2 -7.09 12.28 -0.74 0.45 10.39
3 H Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 1- 2 -8.26 11.11 -0.74 0.45 -2.03
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 4- 2 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.45 10.37
3 A UL Monroe (36-21, 92.6) 5- 7 -7.26 12.11 0.74 0.45 -1.47
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 4- 5 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 0.45 -1.77
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 11- 7 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 0.45 10.34
3 H Troy (31-20, 92.8) 5- 4 -7.14 12.23 -0.74 0.45 10.34
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 4- 5 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.45 -1.05
3 A James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 2- 6 -7.17 12.20 0.74 0.45 -1.45
3 A James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 2-10 -7.17 12.20 0.74 0.45 -1.45
3 A James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 9-15 -7.17 12.20 0.74 0.45 -1.45
3 H LSU (37-21, 97.0) 0- 8 -2.88 16.49 -0.74 0.45 -0.81
3 H Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 12- 4 -8.42 10.95 -0.74 0.45 9.19
3 H Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 8- 6 -8.42 10.95 -0.74 0.45 9.19
3 H Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 8- 2 -8.42 10.95 -0.74 0.45 9.19
3 A McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 3- 4 -7.09 12.28 0.74 0.45 -1.43
3 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 3- 2 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 0.45 11.34
3 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 5- 3 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 0.45 11.34
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 2- 8 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.45 -0.38
3 H Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 0- 5 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.45 -1.35
3 A Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 1- 2 -8.42 10.95 0.74 0.45 -1.73
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 2- 1 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.45 11.34
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 3- 4 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.45 -1.52
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236.92
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winning pts = 271.1914 losing points = -34.2756
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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